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Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) 1 Year later

Adam Hewison - MarketClub

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It was one year ago to the day that Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) had its IPO on the NYSE. The reason Twitter went with the NYSE was because of the recent fiasco that Facebook experienced with its own IPO on the NASDAQ. Twitter did not want to repeat Facebook's disastrous roll out with all its negative publicity.

For those of you who don't know what Twitter does, it is an online social communications and networking service that enables users to send and read short 140-character messages called "tweets".

On November 7th, 2013, Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) shares opened for trading at $26 and closed out the day at $44.90 which gave the company a valuation of $31 billion. This made instant billionaires of founders, Evan Williams who made $2.56 billion and Jack Dorsey who received $1.05 billion.  

But it got even better because at the end of December 2013, Twitter had a market capitalization of $32.76 billion. Since those heady days in November and December of last year, things haven't gone quite so well for Twitter. For the year, Twitter is down over 34% and down almost 10% from its IPO closing price.

At the moment, this stock is not having a particularly happy birthday as all technical indicators are pointing south and show that the stock could go even lower from where we are now.  

One area that could be very interesting for Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) is an integration trend I see between tweets and TV/cable shows. That would be a big source of revenue for Twitter. Other areas such as social revolutions or crowd disruptions certainly are powerful, but I'm not sure how Twitter can make any money off of social unrest, which we are seeing more and more of these days. After all, who wants to sponsor a unpopular revolution?

While Twitter has been around since 2006 and has grown substantially since that time, the question must be asked, is this going to be a relevant source of social information in five or ten years from now? Or is something else in development that can make tweets and Twitter a thing of the past?

The overriding trend at the moment is negative. How far this trend continues on the downside remains to be seen, but it would not appear as though anyone is rushing in to buy this stock at the moment.

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